Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.590048 0.677053 0.771763 0.882427 1.008093 1.146270 1.309635
2025-01-05 0.437633 0.549928 0.682857 0.851451 1.059213 1.306481 1.622710
2025-01-12 0.344118 0.470227 0.631449 0.851799 1.144168 1.517733 2.030102
2025-01-19 0.265124 0.392039 0.566423 0.821939 1.184930 1.679932 2.403578
2025-01-26 0.222587 0.353896 0.546613 0.847430 1.301949 1.959033 2.975853
2025-02-02 0.192294 0.327015 0.537161 0.884817 1.440520 2.287608 3.667555
2025-02-09 0.161750 0.293251 0.510560 0.890302 1.530155 2.554874 4.305644
2025-02-16 0.136316 0.262584 0.482920 0.888267 1.605732 2.808662 4.956520
2025-02-23 0.116400 0.237456 0.459817 0.889106 1.684676 3.076608 5.665376
2025-03-02 0.100101 0.215673 0.438552 0.888909 1.760380 3.347143 6.412692
2025-03-09 0.088514 0.200771 0.427374 0.905175 1.867664 3.686084 7.324729
2025-03-16 0.076516 0.182527 0.406285 0.898043 1.927973 3.944408 8.117888
2025-03-23 0.068434 0.171412 0.398330 0.917299 2.045506 4.330738 9.214957
2025-03-30 0.059092 0.155480 0.377266 0.905140 2.096168 4.591530 10.097310
2025-04-06 0.052913 0.145843 0.368562 0.918858 2.204358 4.983681 11.299845
2025-04-13 0.045370 0.131141 0.345409 0.895330 2.225901 5.195351 12.147067
2025-04-20 0.041971 0.126614 0.346085 0.928813 2.383586 5.722894 13.748819
2025-04-27 0.039447 0.123963 0.351011 0.973612 2.574657 6.348631 15.646657
2025-05-04 0.035577 0.116611 0.342380 0.982273 2.678328 6.785869 17.163541
2025-05-11 0.031828 0.108771 0.331014 0.981780 2.758726 7.177794 18.620651
2025-05-18 0.028635 0.101931 0.321194 0.983847 2.846030 7.596949 20.193698
2025-05-25 0.025777 0.095511 0.311413 0.984383 2.929301 8.016098 21.816533
2025-06-01 0.023763 0.091460 0.307976 1.002809 3.064504 8.583762 23.882447